The weirdness may continue should a potent tropical storm or hurricane spin up next week more from the Central America gyre rather than a tropical wave over the Atlantic Ocean.
“Given how warm waters typically are in the region and energy from the Central America gyre, there is the potential for any system that forms over the western Caribbean to the Gulf of Mexico to intensify and track into the U.S. quickly,” DaSilva said.
Because of the concern, AccuWeather’s team of experts has raised the development chances to “high.”
There will likely be some stiff breezes (wind shear) near the U.S., but systems that move with the shear rather than against it are sometimes less negatively affected by it, DaSilva explained.
While climatology suggests a track into the central or eastern U.S. Gulf coast is most likely at this time with a feature that forms and ramps up quickly with a strong jet stream, a delay in the development of the tropical feature and weaker jet stream could allow a rare late-September track along the Texas coast.
AccuWeather has designated the formation window from Monday, Sept. 23, through Wednesday, Sept. 25. This represents only the period when a tropical depression or storm may form and not the entire life cycle. Any U.S. landfall could occur days after the formation period.
Residents and visitors as well as fishing, shipping and cruise interests from Central America to southeastern Mexico, Cuba, the U.S. Gulf Coast, the southern Atlantic coast and the Bahamas should monitor the situation.
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Publish date : 2024-09-17 07:43:00
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