A disturbance over the western Caribbean Sea is expected to develop into a tropical depression or storm late next week as it moves north into the Gulf of Mexico, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
The broad area of low pressure was producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Caribbean and portions of Central America Sunday morning, forecasters said in a 7 a.m. update. Forecasters said environmental conditions appear to be favorable for gradual development as the system moves slowly into the Gulf through the next week.
As of 7 a.m. Sunday, the system had a 70% chance of forming into a tropical depression or storm within the next week and a 10% chance of forming in the next two days.
Regardless of development, the disturbance is expected to bring heavy rains to Central America through the next several days, National Hurricane Center forecasters said.
😎 We’ve got another nice (but hot) Sunday ahead! No rain with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.
No major changes to the Tropical Weather Outlook from last night – still too early to narrow down specifics. We’re keeping an eye on it. Check back for more updates. #lawx #mswx pic.twitter.com/SFegQcFKpq
— NWS New Orleans (@NWSNewOrleans) September 22, 2024
Forecasters with the National Weather Service of New Orleans said Sunday morning that the system does not pose an immediate threat to southeast Louisiana. It’s still too soon to tell whether there will be direct impacts to the local area, forecasters said.
If it forms, the storm would be named Helene and would be the eighth named storm of the 2024 hurricane season.
Tropical wave near Africa
Hurricane forecasters were tracking a tropical wave near the west coast of Africa Sunday morning that they said could develop as it moves west during the next several days.
A tropical depression or storm could form late next week, forecasters said. The wave had no chance of forming in the next two days and a 40% chance of forming within the next week.
Low pressure system southeast of Bermuda
Located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda, a low pressure system was producing increasingly organized showers and thunderstorms Sunday morning. The low is expected to remain in a dry environment, forecasters said, but a short-lived tropical depression could form as the system moves north.
As of Sunday, the low had a 20% chance of forming in the next two days and the next week.
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Publish date : 2024-09-22 04:49:00
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