Disturbance near Florida ‘likely to form’ into tropical depression over next few days: NHC

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TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) — The disturbance near Florida is “likely to form” into a tropical depression or tropical storm as it moves northward across the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico over the next few days, the National Hurricane Center said Sunday morning.

Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next several days.

The system has a 80% chance of development over the next seven days, according to the NHC’s 2 p.m. update.

“The tropical wave in the NW Caribbean has yet to form but is expected to over the coming days either in this region or the southern Gulf of Mexico. Once it develops, it will be in a conducive environment for strengthening and could become a tropical depression and possibly a tropical storm as it moves north and then northeastward. We will closely monitor this as it may have impacts on the Bay Area late next week. For now, it has a 80% chance of development,” Max Defender 8 Meteorologist Eric Stone said.

Showers and thunderstorms in the central subtropical Atlantic have diminished in association with an area of low pressure about several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda,” the NHC said. The system is not expected to develop.

The NHC is also monitoring the eastern tropical Atlantic as a tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa over the next few days. Gradual development is possible after that and a tropical depression could form.

“Another wave is expected to move off the African coast in late Sunday or into Monday and has a good possibility of development as it moves through an environment conducive for development. It has a 50% chance to develop over the next several days,” Stone added.

This system has a 50% chance of formation over the next seven days.

Watch Tracking the Tropics on Tuesdays at 12:30 p.m. ET/11:30 a.m. CT. Be prepared with the 2024 Hurricane Guide and stay ahead of tropical development with the Tracking the Tropics newsletter.

For the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to WFLA.

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Disturbance near Florida ‘likely to form’ into tropical depression over next few days: NHC

Disturbance near Florida ‘likely to form’ into tropical depression over next few days: NHC

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