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One year after oil referendum, what’s next for Ecuador’s Yasuní National Park?

by theamericannews
August 25, 2024
in Ecuador
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One year after oil referendum, what’s next for Ecuador’s Yasuní National Park?
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At around 80 years old, Kemperi Baihua has seen his forest drastically change with the first arrival of colonists and settlers back in the 1940s. With his forest under attack and his people influenced by other ways of life, he just may be the last of the Waorani Shaman. Waorani Territory, Yasuni Biosphere, Ecuador. Image ©Ryan P. Killackey/Pollywog Productions.

“The territorial organizations directly impacted were not included in them,” Andrés Tapia, ex-communications coordinator at CONFENIAE, told Mongabay over email. This includes the Waorani and Kichwa Indigenous peoples, as well as members of the Tagaeri and Taromenane peoples — the last Indigenous peoples living in voluntary isolation in Ecuador.

“This is why the Waorani nationality through NAWE rejected the creation of said committee and demanded that the state include them in any decision in this regard since they are the direct actors in the territory,” said Andrés.

Impacts of noncompliance

The government “would set a disastrous precedent for the country by failing to comply with the popular will and decision of this magnitude taken by the majority of the Ecuadorian people,” said Tapia. “For the communities, the continuation of oil extraction will only mean more impoverishment and marginalization that almost 50 years of oil exploration has left for the communities.”

While some Indigenous peoples haven’t seen benefits from oil production in the region, other Indigenous communities living in or near the park who voted against the referendum say the industry brought development and stable livelihoods in the rainforest. The observed impacts on the environment, however, have been unequivocal.

Since it began operations in 2016, the 43-ITT oil block has led to numerous oil spills and the construction of a road through the 1,022,736-hectare (2,527,235-acre) biosphere reserve. Conservationists worry oil production threatens biodiversity and contact with vulnerable isolated Indigenous peoples such as the Indigenous Tagaeri and Taromenane communities.

Within the 43-ITT oil block, there was an increase in forest loss between 2012 and 2022. According to one study, fewer than 8 hectares (19.7 acres) were lost as a result of oil activity in 2012, but by 2016, it had reached more than 77 hectares (190.3 acres). By 2022, around 300 hectares (741.3 acres) of forest had been lost.

Yasuní National Park, one of the most biodiverse regions on the planet, is incredibly dense in its richness. One hectare of the forest has more than 655 tree species, more than there are native tree species in the U.S. and Canada combined. A hectare is also projected to contain more than 100,000 insect species.

Failure to meet the Constitutional Court’s deadline could put the region’s isolated Indigenous peoples in peril and raise the risk of biodiversity loss and climate instability, Amazon Watch wrote in a press release.

Squirrel monkey near Yasuni NP. Photo credit: Rhett A. Butler / MongabaySquirrel monkey near Yasuni NP. Photo credit: Rhett A. Butler / Mongabay
Alternatives to oil money?

In January, President Noboa declared a state of emergency after one of Ecuador’s most powerful gang leaders disappeared from prison, leading to chaos and violence across the country. In response to heightened insecurity, an energy crisis that led to a nationwide blackout for 17 million people in June and the country’s financial crisis, the government implemented a series of measures, such as raising VAT taxes to 15% and partially withdrawing fossil fuel subsidies. Another measure is for a moratorium on the closure of the the 43-ITT oil block as, according to ministers, Ecuador would lose $1.2 billion in oil income per year if operations were to stop.

A group of more than 20 economists from several institutions across the country, including the Pontifical Catholic University of Ecuador and the University of Guayaquil, dispute this figure and say it is inaccurate. In the most optimistic scenario, if oil activity were to continue, revenues would reach on average $510 million annually until 2030, they wrote in a recent report.

Given that oil production has been declining and so has the price of oil, a more pessimistic scenario showed that in the period 2024-30, the oil production of the 43-ITT oil block would fall by 34%. Therefore, the economic returns are expected to be an average of $275 million annually until 2030, the report said. Based on these two scenarios, the economists estimated an intermediate scenario where economic returns would come to $393 million each year.

The economists proposed a series of economic alternatives to oil drilling in Yasuní, which they estimated could raise more than $1.7 billion each year, surpassing the most optimistic scenario of oil revenues from the 43-ITT oil block. These alternatives included closing the tax gap, which is the difference between taxes legally owed and taxes collected, currently amounting to $379.3 million, by 10%. By reducing the tax gap by this amount, the country could earn the equivalent of 96% of what the government would lose from the exploitation of Yasuní.

The Porto Mirando oil platform run by PetroAmazonas (a subsidiary of Petroecuador), which lies along the border of the Yasuni National Park in what is known as Block 43, or ITT. Image by Kimberley Brown for Mongabay.

To do so, the economists said the government should implement a series of measures aimed at labor formality and adequate employment, the digitization of records and transactions, improved tax regimes for small taxpayers and an increase in the budget of the entities responsible for carrying out tax audits and inspections.

Other measures proposed by the economists include a reduction in tax expenditure, which could bring in more than $641 million annually, permanent wealth tax for both individuals and companies, which would generate tax revenues of $321.6 million each year, an increase in the income tax rate for large financial institutions and other measures.

Nenquimo of NAWE told Mongabay that the Waorani are interested in strengthening their bioeconomy by selling artisanal crafts and other products, such as energy drinks made from garlic leaves and the morete seed. However, this would require financial support that can go directly to communities and not through intermediary organizations, he said. With this money, they could develop environmental tourism projects and other community-led businesses.

“The [Waorani] could support themselves with other projects, but these projects must be linked directly to the community,” he said. “For now, the [Waorani] has depended on others.”

 

Banner image: A pair of scarlet macaws perched near the water hold at Yasuni National Park in Ecuador. Image by Doug Greenberg via Flickr (CC BY-NC 2.0).

Ecuador project aims to protect Yasuní park borders & Indigenous peoples

Related Mongabay podcast episode: How the Indigenous Shuar regained their ancestral forest. Listen here:

Citations:

Puthuparambil, S. (2022). Digging Deeper: Impacts of Block 43 ITT Oil Development on Yasuní National Park. Digging Deeper. Recovered from: https://nature.berkeley.edu/classes/es196/projects/2022final/PuthuparambilS_2022.pdf

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Publish date : 2024-08-21 08:48:00

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