Article first published: Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2024, 5 a.m. ET
According to the National Hurricane Center’s 5 am Tuesday advisory, Ernesto is now affecting Guadeloupe
Tropical Storm Ernesto is 10 miles southeast of Guadeloupe and 350 miles east-southeast of San Juan Puerto Rico, with maximum sustained wind of 40 mph. It’s moving 20 mph to the west.
“… Ernesto is expected to move across portions of the Leeward Islands this morning and near or over the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by this evening.” meteorologists observed. “After passing Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, Ernesto is forecast to turn northward over the western Atlantic.” They also said “Gradual strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Ernesto could reach hurricane strength by Thursday over the waters north of the Greater Antilles.”
YESTERDAY (Monday):
Yesterday, the weather system gained sufficient intensity to be named Ernesto. The potential tropical cyclone was upgraded to a tropical storm with winds of 40 mph. Ernesto brewed in the Atlantic Ocean and moved to the Caribbean Sea.
Forecasters alert: a tropical storm warning in effect for the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:
– St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda, and Anguilla
– Guadeloupe
– St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
– Sint Maarten
– British Virgin Islands
– U.S. Virgin Islands
– Puerto Rico
– Vieques
– Culebra
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the northeastern Caribbean should monitor the progress of Ernesto.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND:
RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Ernesto is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over portions of the Leeward and Virgin Islands. For Puerto Rico, 3 to 6 inches of rainfall, with maximum amounts of 10 inches, is expected.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Ernesto, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml? Rainqpf
Elsewhere in the Caribbean, Tropical Storm Ernesto is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Friday morning: Windward Islands… 1 to 4 inches Eastern Hispaniola… 2 to 4 inches
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area for the Leeward Islands beginning during the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin spreading over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by this evening.
STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level for the eastern coast of Puerto Rico from San Juan to Guayama, including the islands of Culebra and Vieques and in the U.S. Virgin Islands, including St. Thomas, St. John, and St. Croix.
A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels in the British Virgin Islands. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Swells generated by Ernesto will likely begin to affect portions of the Leeward Islands beginning in the next several hours. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Source: National Hurricane Center
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Publish date : 2024-08-11 13:00:00
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