There is a high degree of uncertainty where this system may end up, but anyone with travel plans to the Caribbean should watch this carefully. The update on Thursday night calls for Sara to dissipate before it moves into the Gulf of Mexico. While this is the official forecast, there is a non-zero chance an area of low pressure may make it into the Gulf.Â
If that plays out, a front will approach from the west and interact with the system and take it to the east toward Florida, but model intensity ranges from an open tropical wave just bringing rainfall to Florida to a named storm. More land interaction with Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula would lessen the chance of a named storm impacting the U.S.
Spaghetti models or plots show a series of individual computer forecast models together on one map. They are useful to give insight into whether multiple models are in agreement on the path of the storm but they do not address the storm’s forecast intensity, winds, flooding and storm surge potential or other data. Tap here for more details on how to best use these models.
Here’s a look at the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season so far.
More Storm Season Resources
Our team of meteorologists dives deep into the science of weather and breaks down timely weather data and information. To view more weather and climate stories, check out our weather blogs section.
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Publish date : 2024-11-14 21:02:00
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