TS Oscar forms, TS Nadine to make landfall in Belize

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Here is your tropics check for Saturday, October 19, 2024:

TROPICAL STORM NADINE:

Tropical Storm Nadine is currently 25 miles east of Belize City moving toward the west near 8 mph. A faster westward motion is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast track, Nadine is expected to make landfall near Belize City later this morning, and then move across Belize, northern Guatemala, and southern Mexico this afternoon through Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph with higher gusts. Weakening is expected after the storm moves inland, and it will likely dissipate by late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles from the center.

WARNINGS:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Belize City, Belize to Cancun, Mexico, including Cozumel.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case later this morning.

IMPACTS:

RAINFALL: Widespread 4 to 8 inch rainfall amounts are expected with Nadine across northern Belize, northern Guatemala, and southern Mexican states from Quintana Roo westward to Veracruz. Isolated areas of amounts exceeding 12 inches are also possible through late Tuesday.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area through this afternoon.

STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore winds near and to the north of where the center moves inland.

TROPICAL STORM OSCAR:

Tropical Storm Oscar is located 190 east-southeast of the Southeastern Bahamas moving toward the west near 13 mph and this motion with a gradual slowdown and turn to the west-southwest is forecast over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph with higher gusts. Some intensification is possible over the next day or so, followed by little change in strength.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center.

WARNINGS:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Turks and Caicos Islands * Southeastern Bahamas * Cuban Provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, and Las Tunas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cuba Provence of Camaguey

IMPACTS:

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by tonight, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated amounts of 6 inches, are expected across the Turks and Caicos, southeastern Cuba, and the southeastern Bahamas through Tuesday.

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