Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris delivers remarks at the Congressional Hispanic Caucus Institute’s 47th Annual Leadership Conference at the Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center on September 18, 2024 in Washington,…
Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris delivers remarks at the Congressional Hispanic Caucus Institute’s 47th Annual Leadership Conference at the Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center on September 18, 2024 in Washington, DC. Harris is trailing Trump in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, according to the latest NYT-Siena College poll, in which a majority said they trusted the former president over Harris when it came to the economy and immigration.
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In what appears to be an ominous sign for the incumbent Harris, the polls found that voters were worried about candidates’ proficiency when it came to the key issues, but the future of the country as a whole.
Taken together, only 27 percent of those polled in these three states said that the U.S. was “on the right track,” with 63 percent believing that the country is “headed in the wrong direction.”
Some 44 percent said that the problems in the U.S. are so dire “that America is in danger of failing.”
While Harris is leading Trump nationally, 48.4 percent to 45.5 according to FiveThirtyEight’s latest estimate, together these three states are worth 43 electoral college votes, and could prove critical in determining the outcome of the November vote.
However, only 66 percent said that they were “almost certain” to vote in this year’s election, with roughly 5 percent still undecided when faced with the choice of the two candidates, meaning there is still plenty to compete for in the sunbelt.
Predictions may also be skewed by the demographic changes that have occurred in the region since 2020.
According to Pat McCrory, “tens of thousands” of voters have migrated to North Carolina from urban areas in states such as New York and California to escape the worst effects of the Covid pandemic.
Speaking to CNN on Monday morning, McCrory, who formerly served as governor for North Carolina, said that this phenomenon of “transplant Covid votes” was likely impacting the the voting demographics of other swing states, and that the resulting electorate shift could result in a surprising result come November.
“I think the unknown is: What type of voter moved during Covid to these Sunbelt States, and how will they vote?” McCrory said.
Update 09/23/24 08:03 a.m. ET: This article was updated with additional content.
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Publish date : 2024-09-23 03:28:00
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