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📊 Paraguay Form and Stats
Paraguay have had a historical reputation as an incredibly tough team to play against. They fought back in the Colombia game and ended up narrowly losing the game. They actually won the xG battle, with an xG of 1.35 to Colombia’s 0.85. Apart from a 3-0 defeat against Chile in their warm-up games, they haven’t lost a game by more than a 1-goal margin since June of 2023, a run stretching back seven games.
Their bigger concern is their lack of goal threat, with just three goals scored in their last ten games. They struggle to create quality chances, with just three shots on target against the Colombians and Panamanians in their two most recent games and just one against Chile in the game prior to that.
Costa Rica weren’t able to find the target at all against the Brazilians and Paraguay could also struggle, if they are to set up their team in the hopes of nicking a draw or a rare breakaway.
📊 Brazil Form and Stats
What felt like a final for the Costa Ricans would have been a hammer blow for Brazil, coming into the tournament as second favourites behind Argentina. They struggled to break down the Costa Rican defence and the result puts added pressure on them to win this game and face off against Colombia for a chance to top the group. They dominated the game with 70% of the possession and an xG of 1.33 compared to Costa Rica’s minimal 0.03. On the face of it they created chances, with 7 shots on goal but couldn’t put their chances away.
Prior to the Costa Rica game, Brazil had picked up some reasonable form with 2 wins and 2 draws in this calendar year. Considering that these were all away games against England, Spain, Mexico, and Brazil respectively, it shows an improvement from their CONMEBOL qualifying results, where they currently sit in 6th place with just two wins from their six games.
The concern for Brazil will be how they break down a team like Paraguay who sit with a low block. In games against similarly defensive opponents, they drew 1-1 with Paraguay and narrowly beat Peru 1-0. They’ll be hoping they create enough quality chances to break down Paraguay with the sheer gulf in quality they have in forward areas.
⚔️ Paraguay v Brazil Head-to-Head
The two sides have met on 83 occasions, with Brazil winning 51 and Paraguay winning 13 of the fixtures. Paraguay have not managed to beat Brazil in their last nine attempts, with their last victory over the Brazilians coming in a 2008 CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifier. Brazil have scored 9 goals without reply against the Paraguayans in their last four encounters.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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Publish date : 2024-06-28 05:52:33
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